Israel may Nuke Iran

WillyBWright

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

Sabre-rattling. They wouldn't dare. There are other options with far less room for global condemnation which is exactly what they'd get. You can't use nukes without regional consequences that would reach far beyond Iran. It would be Israel's death warrant. The only possible outcome would be Armageddon. As a last resort if attacked? All options are on the table. But never will there be justification for using nukes preemptively.

However, if you do believe the New Teatament, you have to believe that Armageddon is inevetible. That concerns me.
 

steve201

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

well..they did it once before at Osirak....they also have the ability to do it...the new F16I's and bunker busters.....plus they are agressive in combat...so....don't put it past them.....:/
 

rolmops

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

Whatever Israel chooses to let the world know,is probably far removed from what they plan to do.With the current government in Israel being very unpopular,this "news" might well be for internal propaganda purposes,mostly to distract attention attention from big corruption scandals inside the highest echelons of that government.
If however there are elections in the near future,all options are open.
Menachem Begin bombed the Iraqi nuclear 2 weeks before elections in 1981 and earned an overwhelming electoral victory.
 

POINTER94

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

I agree with Willy and Rolmops completely. It may be a first but hopefully not the last. d:)
 

12Footer

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

Not a snowball's chance in Fort Myers, Florida that Isreal would conduct a first-strike, for the same reasons outlined by WbW above.
And if they do, they lost the only friend in the world they still had. Besides, historically, they have only rarely done that.. Once against palestine, when palestine started moblilizing their tanks and personel on the border in 1962 (i believe it was). Another was a terrorist attack on their ememies biggest warrior, a giant, by some kid with a sling shot. In both cases, the outcome was an Isreali victory.

Their larger, and therefore, more-important history is to use the French meathod of warfare, by meeting it with defensive measures. The Bible is replete with examples of this.


Come to think of it, They rarely won those!! Hmmmmm...
Maybe a snowball's chance in South Carolina.

 

WillyBWright

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

Pointer agreed with Rolmops and me? I'm marking this one on my calendar. ;)

Osirak was attacked with conventional weapons shortly prior to going operational to prevent radioactive fallout. Using nukes on a nuke facility would be disasterous far beyond Iran and I'm sure they're fully aware fo that. However Begin won an election after the attack which was credited for his surge in the polls that he had trailed in before the attack. Politics is politics and arrogant men do stupid things to gain power. :%
 

JB

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

I think Iran has made their nuclear development program pretty much immune to the sort of attack that took out Iraq's reactor facility.

First of all they are not concentrated in one spot and we don't know exactly where everything is. If we don't know it is unlikely that Israel does. A nuclear strike doesn't seem to this inexpert person any more likely to work than an attack with modern surgical conventional weapons like MOAB.

The MOSSAD? Now that is a weapon like nobody else has. If Israel seeks to destroy Iran's nuclear program they would use MOSSAD. It would probably be danged hard to determine who did it or how.
 

crunch

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

Good point JB, a lot of Iran’s military brains have been "lost" in the last year.... kindda makes you go Hmmmm...

It was exactly a year ago. A small Falcon jet - favored by top Iranian military officers - crashed in northwest Iran near the Turkish border. Among those killed were Brig.-Gen. Ahmad Kazemi, commander of the elite Revolutionary Guard ground forces division, and at least 12 other officers.

Rumors quickly spread that the plane had been sabotaged and that Kazemi had been killed in a devious Israeli plot.

While Iranian official statements blamed bad weather and dilapidated engines for the crash, there was room for speculation that foul play may have had a hand. Kazemi had been responsible for the production and development of Iran's Shihab ballistic missile series, capable of delivering a nuclear warhead into the heart of Europe, not to mention Israel.

He was also a close confidant of Iranian Defense Minister Mostafa Muhammad Najjar, from their days together in the Revolutionary Guard, where Najjar served as the head of the Middle East department, responsible for Israel and Lebanon.

Since last January's crash, air travel for Iranian military officials has become increasingly dangerous. On November 27, a military transport plane crashed just after take-off from Teheran. More than 40 people were killed including 30 members of the Revolutionary Guard, some of them reported to be close advisers to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. A week before, a helicopter crashed into the central town of Najafabad, killing six, including a senior Revolutionary Guard officer.

The combined effect of these crashes, some Iranian analysts claim, has effectively gutted the high command of the Revolutionary Guard.


http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?apage=1&cid=1167467659996&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull
 
Joined
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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

And besides, if and when they need that sort of thing crunchy will let them know. ;)
 

JasonJ

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

I doubt Israel would Heroshimatize Iran, but I wouldn't be surprised if a series of unfortunate "accidents" occured, with a Chernobyl style aftermath...Imagine Iran with significant amounts of unliveable real estate....Then we could go in and give billions of dollars in aid and they would be our buddies for about fifteen seconds....
 

crunch

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

with a Chernobyl style aftermath

That is one of the things that concern me the most, sure it would be "good fun" if Iran had a major Nuke accident, contaminating a bunch of land, but on the side... what about the people?

I loath the Iranian government and everything it stands for. But the people aren't the enemy, .they are just the innocent victims of their government..


That said, an abrupt, disassembly event would have little impact on surrounding populations, if done right...Hiroshima, Nagasaki, and Chernobyl all agree with this.
 

KaGee

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Re: Israel may Nuke Iran

JB said:
A nuclear strike doesn't seem to this inexpert person any more likely to work than an attack with modern surgical conventional weapons like MOAB.
Military channel had a show on last night featuring MOAB.
MOAB is not a "Bunker-buster" It actually detonates before impact. It's mission is as much intimidation and carnage as possible. It could never be delivered unless there was total air superiority.
 
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