Re: 15hp Johnson no water on plane
So your motor is an 06 ? This is the first you mentioned the year. If so, I agree with the marina, rather a new motor to be afflicted with a swollen/deteriorated grommet.
On that late a motor, you might pull the water outlet Ell from the water jacket, (it's near the top). Run the motor in a tank enough to be able to rev it up enough to blow any possible constriction out of the water jacket/Ell connection. I suspect you have some debris inside the water jacket that is floating around & doing an intermittant blockage to the tell tale.
The tell tale water indicator takes it's water out of the system early on, before it cools the motor, so should have nothing to do with exhausting it through the exhast.