Re: Cost of manufacturing in China
deck swabber 58 said:
Has China's economy really improved for the average citizen
Yes it has. The 2 key words being "improved" and "average" though. Keep in mind most chinese people life a life very reminicent of our own (US) history of the late 1800's to early 1900's. Alot of the population outside of the major cities are very rural, farmland, where alot of chinese folks own horses and not automobiles. Many without electricity and modern plumbing. Farmers are encouraged to send their young, and work themselves in factories. And even though the conditions are nothing compared to what we have here in the US for standards, the average farmer does make more money at a factory than he does tending a farm.
The other thing you have to consider is how many "average" citizens china has. The US has roughly 300 million men, women and children. China has 1.3 billion, or 1 billion more, men, women, and children than the US has.
Another thing you have to think about is this. Numbers and percentages.
Lets say that if in the US right now there were 300 million paying jobs available (which there obviously is not). That would be 1 job for every person in the US. Now using my population stats stated above (which are accurate). Lets say there are 300 million paying jobs in China. China has 1.3 billion people. That would mean for every 1 job in China there are 4.3 people raising their hands to take that job that pays more than farming. Like Henry Ford said, if you can build an assembly line, all you need are able bodies with minimal skill. And that's exactly what China has.
Now there is a difference between "jobs" and "good jobs". Here a job is McDonanalds, and a good job doesn't start until you hit middle management at "XYZ" company that operates at a profit every year and not a loss. Keep this relative, Because this is for us, here in the US. In China a "job" is a farmer or horse "pooper scooper". A "good job" is at a factory making $1.99 folding knives.
Don't take my word for it though... do your own research. I would much rather be a factory worker in China than I would be a construction laborer in Dubai.
In fact in todays world... If I could have 100 acres in a temperate zone of weather that I could have to run a personal farm, even if i didn't have electricity or plumbing... goodbye iboats.com but it doesn't sound like a bad life at the moment.
lowkee said:
I would argue the opposite. A million people with one dollar are worth a whole lot more than one person with one million. After all, you get the million people to back those dollars. Those pieces of paper in one man's hands mean nothing if the other million don't follow along with the money game.
I disagree, the 1 person with the million clearly dictates. Unless he is trying to dictate a union. And your statement makes you sound like a union worker. If I have a million bucks, and 1 million people have 1 dollar each. What do I need the million people for, as I have the most money per person.
lowkee said:
Brutality and theft are hardly facts of life. Facts of life are unchanging, slavery is a choice.
Tell that to the last eon of slaves and the still living folks that at 50 years ago were at the back of the bus sipping from different water fountains.... it's not a choice when you are the minority.
its all lowkee from here on out said:
I'm a little confused who you consider strong/weak in your examples. China has a much stronger economy than the US. We are a nation of debt, China is not. Simply put, the US is mortgaged to the max and has become a slave country. We can't even afford to pay the interest on what we have already borrowed. In a line, we can't even pay our minimum monthly payments as a country. To call our economy 'strong' is analogous to calling a person going on a credit card spending spree 'rich'.
1. I never said our (US) economy was strong, infact I inferred just the opposite.
2. I agree, the US is clearly broke. The US has built the biggest national infrascructrure in the history of the world(and more quickly), and did 99% of it on a "credit card".
3. I personally believe the best thing the US could do for itself right now, is to officially declare bankrupcy. The dollar would become worthless globally. But the dollar would still have value in the US (albeit substantially less). There is, and still would be, a consumer demand in the US. Because of bankrupcy other countrys would not trade with us, or trade very little. But because of existing and continuing demand, this would force the US to bring back jobs. It would also force the dollar converting back to a standard, wether it's the gold standard or the Marthas Vinyard beach sand standard. A standard is the way it was for 200+ years before it was on the debt/oil standard the dollar is based off of now. Its a scary thing in the short run, but I believe it to be necessary and inevitable in the long run.
4. Powers would shift as well, which isn't necessarily a bad thing. White collar managment, bean counters, essentially ghost shell jobs would cease to pay the high wages they are paying now. Wall street bigwigs, the madoffs, bank executives, would not have the million of dollars per year salaries that they draw. On the flip side, people with tangabile skills, people who are blue collar guys. Men and women who can wrench, build, pull wires, people who can create, aritisans and true craftsmen will draw command of higher salaries... it will take a few years, but things will balance out. It will force a return of a majority middle class, which is what not only the US, but the world needs.
I don't see where it is a balancing act. Any country where the populace produces more goods and ideas than it consumes will always improve. There is no loser when you stay out of debt.
Its always a balancing act... and that is the problem. Untill labor is universally free... there will always be executives hedging profits against projected labor costs.
Look at the cost of oil. 2 years ago the news networks were crying supply and demand is to why it is so expensive. It has nothing to do with supply and demand. It has nothing to do with "percieved" supply and demand. It's about how oil is traded by the dollar, and until we can make the dollar worth more by tangible standards, or until oil goes to the euro or some hybrid currency, the oil markets will always be volitaile and innacurrate to it's true "value". It is not the market that controlls the price of oil or anything else, it is not the "percieved" market that controlls the price, it is the betting that goes on behind close doors that controll prices.......
....I'm done ranting for now... I don't have it in me to type anymore. I really need to pick a month to write a book.
Mods~ I put a bit of time into this post so if it is deemed "controversial" please do not delete this if you choose to lock it down. If you do choose to lock it down please send me a PM of this transcript so I can keep it for myself.
Best,
JJ