Re: just went to replace bellows and found...
Yea, it's that bad. It may not need a new outdrive, but the upper gear box is going to need a new seal and metal seal ring on the shaft. Along with both ujoints, new intermediate shaft, bearings, seals, and bellhousing. When the bearings and shaft go like that, it wears out where the bearing should be a press fit in the housings so the bearing doesn't spin. With as far as that shaft has twisted, you know the flex plate and the pilot bearing in the crankshaft are toast.
That thing must have been making a lot of growling noise for a LOOOOOOONG time. That is not something that happens overnight.