Looking like it will hit south of SRQ. So the heavy rains will be 46.7 miles north (distance from eye to outer bands).
They dropped the storm surge to 9-13 from 10-15
Here is where we put the helmet on (Quoting Ron White (
Local channel https://www.mysuncoast.com/
Center looks to be headed to Sarasota as of now
If that is the case, Tampa will get hit with most of the rain